The path for Felix is now very certain, and it is clear that Cancun will be unaffected. The current prediction is that Felix will make landfall around the Nicaraguan / Honduras border tomorrow, then move through Honduras before affecting Guatamala and Southern Belize.

Cancun and the Riviera Maya are safe with a zero per cent chance of Cancun suffering hurricane force winds.

It is time to suspend the blog once again, we’ll be back posting when another hurricane looks likely to affect Cancun. But for now our thoughts are with those who will undoubtedly suffer major devastation and likely loss of life from Felix.

Until next time.
Posted by Steve

Cancun Vacation Guide | Live Cancun Webcam | Cancun Message Board

Hurricane Felix has grown in strength enormously and is now the strongest category possible, a category 5 hurricane. As it continues over warm water there seems little to stop it growing in ferocity, although there is no Category 6.

Looking at Cancun though, the forecasts have become a little more eratic and have diverged from earlier in the day. However, the divergence has been such that the prediction is Cancun and the Riviera Maya is less likely of being hit even than it was earlier. Two of the five models now suggest that Felix will strike land in Honduras or even Nicaragua, although the median still suggests a strike on Belize some 400 miles south of Cancun.

For sure this is going to be a biggie, and there may be some twists and turns along the way. But the chances of it affecting Cancun are currently miniscule and cancelling a planned vacation should not be on the cards at this point imho.

We’ll continue to provide daily updates on Felix’s progress, but wont be resuming full blogging mode unless things change drastically and the Cancun / Riviera Maya area becomes threatened.

Posted by Steve

Cancun Vacation Guide | Live Cancun Webcam | Cancun Message Board

To answer a couple of queries.

We are keeping an eye on Hurricane Felix which has just reached hurricane status. The tracking map curently has Felix making landfall some 400 miles south of Cancun, so even further away than Dean. At the present time there is only a 5-10% chance of hurricane force winds in Cancun when Felix makes landfall.

We are monitoring the situation but dont want to cause undue alarm by reopening the blog if there is little or no threat to Cancun, which thankfully seems to be the case at the current time.

If things change we’ll be jumping back into blogging mode again.

Posted by Steve

Cancun Vacation Guide | Live Cancun Webcam | Cancun Message Board