Hurricane Felix has grown in strength enormously and is now the strongest category possible, a category 5 hurricane. As it continues over warm water there seems little to stop it growing in ferocity, although there is no Category 6.

Looking at Cancun though, the forecasts have become a little more eratic and have diverged from earlier in the day. However, the divergence has been such that the prediction is Cancun and the Riviera Maya is less likely of being hit even than it was earlier. Two of the five models now suggest that Felix will strike land in Honduras or even Nicaragua, although the median still suggests a strike on Belize some 400 miles south of Cancun.

For sure this is going to be a biggie, and there may be some twists and turns along the way. But the chances of it affecting Cancun are currently miniscule and cancelling a planned vacation should not be on the cards at this point imho.

We’ll continue to provide daily updates on Felix’s progress, but wont be resuming full blogging mode unless things change drastically and the Cancun / Riviera Maya area becomes threatened.

Posted by Steve

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